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Cavaliers vs. Rockets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 26, 2023

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Cleveland is a double-digit favorite against Houston when Donovan Mitchell’s Cavaliers (47-28) and Jalen Green’s Rockets (18-56) meet on March 26, 2023. The line has the Cavaliers favored by 13.5 points. A 222-point total is set for the matchup.

Cavaliers vs. Rockets Odds

  • Cavaliers odds to win: -1083
  • Rockets odds to win: +700
  • Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)
  • Total: 222

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Game Time and Information

  • When: Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 6:00 PM ET
  • Where: Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse in Cleveland, Ohio
  • TV: BSOH and SportsNet SW

Who Will Win Cavaliers vs. Rockets?

Cavaliers and Rockets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When they have played as at least 13.5-point favorites this season, the Cavaliers are 1-1 against the spread.

The Rockets have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 13.5 points or more this season (0-1).

The two teams average a combined 0.8 more points per game (222.8) than this matchup’s total of 222 points.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 3.4 more points per game, 225.4, than this matchup’s total of 222 points.

The Cavaliers’ average point total in matchups this season is 219.0, 3.0 points less than the over/under in this game.

Houston’s games this year have averaged a total of 229.3 points, 7.3 more than the point total in this matchup.

So far this season, Cleveland has compiled a 40-34-1 record against the spread.

The Rockets have a 29-41-4 record against the spread this season.

Cavaliers Stats & Insights

The Cavaliers outscore opponents by 5.5 points per game (scoring 112.2 points per game to rank 25th in the league while giving up 106.7 per contest to rank first in the NBA) and have a +413 scoring differential overall.

The Cavaliers record 41.3 rebounds per game (25th in the league) compared to the 40.9 of their opponents.

Cleveland knocks down 11.5 three-pointers per game (19th in the league) at a 36.5% rate (13th in the NBA), compared to the 11.3 its opponents make while shooting 36.9% from deep.

The Cavaliers rank 10th in the league by averaging 113.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are first in the NBA, allowing 107.7 points per 100 possessions.

The Cavaliers’ offense has been much better when playing at home (113.7 PPG) compared to road games (110.8 PPG). Likewise, their defense has been better at home (104.6 PPG allowed) compared to road games (108.8 PPG allowed).

Rockets Stats & Insights

The Rockets are being outscored by 8.1 points per game, with a -606 scoring differential overall. They put up 110.6 points per game (29th in NBA), and give up 118.7 per outing (29th in league).

The 46.3 rebounds per game Houston accumulates rank fourth in the league, 5.0 more than the 41.3 its opponents grab.

The Rockets make 10.6 three-pointers per game (27th in the league), 4.1 fewer than their opponents.

The Rockets average 107.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (29th in league), and concede 117.0 points per 100 possessions (29th in NBA).

In 2022-23 Houston is scoring 0.7 fewer points per game at home (110.2) than on the road (110.9).

Cavaliers Key Players to Watch

Mitchell leads active Cavaliers players in scoring, tallying 27.5 points per game to go with 4.2 rebounds and 4.5 assists.

Darius Garland is averaging 21.7 points, 7.8 assists and 2.7 rebounds per game, while Evan Mobley adds 16.3 points, 2.7 assists and 9.0 rebounds per contest.

Mitchell makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Cavaliers, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.5 per contest.

Mitchell picks up 1.5 takeaways per game, and Mobley records 1.4 rejections per contest.

Rockets Key Players to Watch

Green pours in 21.9 points per game. He also contributes 3.9 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game this season.

This season, Alperen Sengun is averaging 14.7 points, 3.8 assists and 8.7 rebounds per game.

Green hits 2.5 threes per game.

The Rockets’ defensive effort gets a lift from Tari Eason (1.1 steals per game) and Jabari Smith Jr. (0.9 blocks per game).

Cavaliers vs. Rockets Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Cavaliers (- 13.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (222)

  • Prediction:
    Cavaliers 121 – Rockets 103

How to Bet on Cavaliers vs. Rockets

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