Monday, December 4, 2023

Newcastle vs. Wolverhampton prediction, odds, time: English Premier League picks, bets for March 12, 2023

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Newcastle United will be trying to rebound from a tough stretch when they host Wolverhampton on Sunday in an English Premier League match at St. James’ Park. The Magpies (10-11-3) are sixth in the Premier League table after consecutive 2-0 losses, to current top-five teams Liverpool and Manchester City. They also lost 2-0 to Manchester United in the League Cup final, so they are looking for a victory. Their most recent league victory was on Jan. 15, a 1-0 home triumph over Fulham. Wolves (7-6-13) have climbed out of the relegation zone and sit 13th in the Premier League table. They come off an impressive 1-0 victory against Tottenham last Saturday.

Kickoff is set for 12:30 p.m. ET at St. James’ Park in Newcastle, England. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Magpies as -155 favorites (risk $155 to win $100) in its latest Newcastle vs. Wolverhampton odds. Wolves are +470 underdogs, a draw is priced at +260 and the over/under for total match goals is set at 2.5. Before you lock in any Wolves vs. Newcastle picks, you need to see the English Premier League predictions from proven SportsLine soccer insider Martin Green

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Green is 54-62-1 on his SportsLine soccer picks since the conclusion of the 2022 World Cup, generating a slight profit for bettors.

Now, Green has broken down the Newcastle vs. Wolves matchup from every angle and locked in his picks and EPL predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Wolverhampton vs. Newcastle: 

  • Newcastle vs. Wolves spread: Newcastle -0.5 (-160)
  • Newcastle vs. Wolves Over/Under: 2.5 goals 
  • Newcastle vs. Wolves money line: Newcastle -155, Wolves +470, Draw +260 
  • NEW: They have seven clean sheets in their 12 home EPL matches 
  • WLV: They have conceded a goal in 10 straight league away matches 
  • Newcastle vs. Wolves picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Newcastle United vs. Wolverhampton

Why you should back Newcastle 

The Magpies will be relieved to have an easier match, but they’ll still have a sense of urgency against improving Wolves. They are plus-11 in goal differential at St. James’ Park, while Wolves are minus-11 away from home. Newcastle aren’t prolific scorers, with 35 goals in 24 matches, but the visitors have scored just 19 goals, tied for fewest in the league. Alexander Isak has three goals in eight games and is healthy now after a long-term injury and another brief absence. 

Miguel Almiron (10 goals) and Callum Wilson (seven) also can score, and Kieran Trippier’s ability on set pieces and crosses can be major weapons. But where the Magpies really excel is on defense. They have conceded just 17 goals, eight fewer than any other team. Goalkeeper Nick Pope leads the league with 12 clean sheets and is third in the EPL with a 77.8 save percentage. The Magpies held the ball for 64% of the match and outshot Wolves 21-10 in the last meeting.

Why you should back Wolves

The last meeting ended 1-1, and Wolves put four of their 10 shots on target and got a first-half goal from Ruben Neves. The Magpies went into that game on a roll but needed an equalizer in the 90th minute. Wolverhampton have struggled to score goals, but Neves and Daniel Podence have five apiece. The victory against Spurs also should breed confidence, and the team is getting better under manager Julen Lopetegui. They are 5-2-4 since he took over, including a victory against Liverpool.      

Wolves have the second-most fouls in the EPL (301) and are in the top six in tackles (472), so they’ll try to make life tough on Newcastle. They also block a lot of shots, ranking third in the league with 114. Raul Jimenez has 40 league goals in five seasons but none this season, and recent signings Diego Costa and Matheus Cunha should add some scoring punch. Wolves have an expected goals of 25, so they should start converting more often. Newcastle share the league lead with 11 draws. 

How to make Newcastle vs. Wolves picks

Green has scrutinized the Wolverhampton vs. Newcastle match from every angle, and he is taking the Under on the goal total. He provides two other confident best bets, both offering plus-money payouts. He’s only sharing his picks and Premier League analysis at SportsLine.

So, who wins Newcastle vs. Wolves in Sunday’s English Premier League matchup? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Wolves vs. Newcastle, all from the European soccer expert who knows the sport inside and out, and find out.

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